By John Helmer, Moscow
  @bears_with

Rasheed Muhammad asks the questions; here are the answers, broadcast live on Wednesday 5pm Washington, DC time:   https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QmC_MoTbwqo 

by Editor - Thursday, November 5th, 2026
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By John Helmer, Moscow
  @bears_with

“Resilience,” declared Kirill Dmitriev, after delaying his Twitter stream until the defeat of President Donald Trump was too obvious to ignore, “is needed to protect Western civilization.”  

He then explained Trump’s defeat as caused by barbarians, London ones. “British media worked hard to undermine President Trump and Republicans before the midterms and now rejoice. Yet by fighting migration and woke ideology, President Trump is the protector of Western civilization.”  

This is not only a mistake in fact which no one in the Trump Administration is claiming. Trump’s alibi for defeat is himself: “I wasn’t on the Ballot and if I was, we would have won IN A LANDSLIDE! Thank you for your attention to this matter.”  The money, Trump has added, is still betting on him. “Stock Market just hit another Record High — 91 Days in just a short period of time — Less than two years. Your 401(k)s are through the roof. Record Setting All!”  

Vice President JD Vance was precise: “The real reason we lost is obvious to almost everyone…1) End the war 2) Focus on cost of living/inflation 3) Put America First 4) Change our relationship to Israel.”  

The war Vance is saying that has cost Trump his political power now, his personal fortune and freedom later, is not the war against Russia in Europe. It is the war against Iran and Iran’s counter-attack which has struck at the cost of US fuel. It is not even the Israeli genocide against the Palestinians, against the Houthis in Yemen and Hezbollah in Lebanon. It is Israel’s part in the war which has raised the American cost of living.

Trump’s defeat is not the outcome of an anti-war movement in the US, Vance is acknowledging after “ask[ing] the smartest data guy I know…The reason we lost is the war. The president himself said so last night…But everyone knows why we lost. And any honest conversation about where we go from here must start there.”  

Everyone knows – except Dmitriev, Putin’s principal advisor on the US, and the Kremlin national security advisor, Yury Ushakov, a former Russian ambassador in Washington, and the  negotiator beside Dmitriev with Trump’s men, Steven Witkoff and Jared Kushner.

Every knows except Putin’s spokesman, Dmitry Peskov. “Russia sincerely hopes that US President Donald Trump will continue his efforts toward resolving the Ukraine conflict after the midterm Congressional elections, Kremlin Spokesman Dmitry Peskov said”, Tass has reported in the first Kremlin statement after the election. “ ‘President Trump continues to stay in office. We sincerely expect that he will continue his peace push as well,’ the Russian presidential spokesman told Life reporter Alexander Yunashev in a comment. ‘Another round of trilateral talks will be held pretty soon, and the peacekeeping efforts [of US First Lady] Melania Trump have been a success. We hope all this will be continued,’ he added.”  

Two hours later, Peskov announced that Dmitriev is rushing to Washington for a meeting on Thursday (November 5) with Mrs Trump. “ ‘We hope Kirill Dmitriev will be there. But the main participant, as I understand it, will be Yana Lantratova, if she manages to get there in time,” Peskov said. He clarified that ‘as of a couple of hours ago, not everyone traveling with her had received their visas. This is always problematic these days. If all the logistics fall into place, so to speak, Yana Lantratova and Kirill Dmitriev will be there.’”  Lantratova is the Kremlin’s human rights commissioner and negotiator on children who have lost homes and families in the fighting on the front, and the evacuations of civilians from Alyoshki.  

The Kremlin troika is now standing alone among Russia’s strategic allies in failing to understand that US warfighting strategy has not changed, and will not change by negotiation with Trump; by bribes for his family and retainers; and by appeals to the traditional values of the white race.  Dmitriev, Ushakov and Peskov are the last men in the Russian alliance to suspect Trump’s imperialism, let alone repudiate it.

For Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, the country’s supreme leader, announced: “Those who still harbour even the slightest hope that the behaviour of the hegemonic system might change through partisan or factional shifts, or who imagine that making concessions to the United States can dissuade it from hostility towards the Iranian nation, are seriously mistaken.”  

Asked by a US reporter if China sees “any fresh possibilities in U.S.-China relations,” the spokesman for Wang Yi, the principal Chinese foreign policymaker, said: “The U.S. midterm elections are a domestic affair. China stands ready to continue working with the U.S. to uphold and deliver on the important common understandings reached by the two heads of state, enhance communication, properly manage differences, expand cooperation, and build a constructive relationship of strategic stability on the basis of respect, fairness, and reciprocity.”   

For the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea (DPRK), Russia’s third strategic ally, Kim Yo Jong issued a statement for her brother, the DPRK leader Kim Jong Un: “They [Trump Administration]  talk about dialogue but do not abandon their confrontational policy; they speak of peace but prefer above all else war exercises and the strengthening of military alliances; they preach improved relations but avoid respecting the other side’s sovereignty and rights and interests…It is our clear position that there is no need to sit down with such untrustworthy and hostile people…We know no other way to respond to the hostile signals the United States continues to send.” She added, “Dialogue is certainly included among the options for defending peace, but for us it is not necessarily synonymous with the national interest.”  

In the new Capitals Uncovered episode with Pelle Neroth Taylor (Sweden) and Martin Sieff (US), we discuss the next steps: Vance’s withdrawal from the 2028 presidential succession race; the rise of the Democratic candidate Alexandria Occasio-Cortez – currently heading towards the lead in the nomination polls;  and the Russian reaction.

The podcast was recorded on Wednesday at 8 am Washington time, 4 pm Moscow. Click to view or listen:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zAgpbfO9P2c

by Editor - Wednesday, November 4th, 2026
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By John Helmer, Moscow
  @bears_with

There is the possibility that during the exceptional telephone call President Vladimir Putin has just had with Mohsen Rezaei, head of the Iranian Supreme National Security Council, Putin told Rezaei that President Donald Trump is so obsessed with his personal impotence that rational deterrence is impossible with him.

If Putin said this – the Kremlin is still keeping the call secret after the Iranian state media confirmed it  — one reason is that it is, medically speaking, the truth.  

Trump’s symptomatic references to the potency organs of the male body are documented here.   The clinical prognosis at the American end: “An already dangerously erratic president veer[s] deeper and deeper into what amounts to hallucination. Given the prospect of deeply embarrassing and shameful defeat in the midterms, the all-too-appropriate question becomes: Will Trump’s fantasies become sadistic? If so, who will he choose as his next victims?…We will be governed for the next two-plus years by a rebuked but powerful president with fraying internal psychological guardrails. The Joint Chiefs of Staff should consider moving the threat level to DEFCON 1.”

(The psephological diagnosis is more rational. According to some pollsters, Trump’s locker-room talk is a pitch for votes from American males under the age of 34 who are increasingly frustrated by their not getting voluntary sex  and by their lack of income to pay for it;  and the substitution of what is still  affordable  to them – a gym subscription for muscle building.)

At the Russian end of this evidence, Putin’s principal negotiator with Trump, Kirill Dmitriev (lead image, left), is also facing a crisis of impotency. If Trump is defeated in the mid-term election results, losing both houses of Congress, Dmitriev’s strategy of bribery of Trump, his family,  and supporters will be more than circumsized, castrated more like.  Dmitriev himself risks becoming a prosecution witness in the corruption trials which the newly elected Congressional majority have planned. In Moscow, anecdotes about Dmitriev’s masculinity – his wife is best friend and business partner with Putin’s daughter  — risk becoming as explicit as Trump’s talk.

In the new podcast with Nima Alkhorshid — aired live on Tuesday at 6am ET — we discuss Putin’s options for the western and southern front wars, Ukraine and Iran, after the Election Day results are in.

We also present the first analysis in English of the Warsaw putsch which Prime Minister Donald Tusk attempted in vain last week, and is still trying to pursue against President Karol Nawrocki. This Polish story is presented as an example of the mistaken line on European politics which, alongside the Trump-first line, is now being reconsidered in the Kremlin.

Click to listen or view:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QcAHDcIBQB4

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by Editor - Tuesday, November 3rd, 2026
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By John Helmer, Moscow
  @bears_with

There is a good reason that the podcasters on the Ukraine war draw large audiences by repeating the same mistake and not correcting it.

Delivering the certainty of war fact by podcasting the daily news from the battlefield several times a day is next to impossible. More certain is the process by which misreporting uncertainty replaces the genuine article.  This is the iron law of media turning into propaganda.

On the uncertainty of the present war, read the reluctance of President Vladimir Putin to go to war with the most corrupt defense minister in the past hundred years of Russian defence;  against an enemy of the combined western alliance aiming to inflict strategic defeat and breakup of the Russian Federation; without the support of Russia’s most powerful warfighting allies, China and India; over the opposition to war of Putin’s domestic supporters – the oligarchs, the banks, and the Central Bank of Russia; and despite the reluctance and resistance of the educated, prosperous, big-city youth.

“Home by Christmas” was the British public slogan when World War I began in Europe in August 1914; the war in Europe that isn’t is the Special Military Operation (SVO) – that was Putin’s point in February 2022.

“The attempt to appease the aggressor ahead of the Great Patriotic War proved to be a mistake which came at a high cost for our people,” Putin began his announcement on February 24, 2022. “In the first months after the hostilities broke out, we lost vast territories of strategic importance, as well as millions of lives. We will not make this mistake the second time…For an infinitely long eight years, we have done everything possible to ensure that the situation is resolved peacefully, by political means. It’s all in vain…The whole course of events and analysis of the information in coming shows that Russia’s clash with these forces is inevitable, it is only a matter of time. They’re preparing. They’re waiting for a convenient hour. Now they also claim to possess nuclear weapons. We will not allow this… Circumstances require us to take decisive and immediate action. The people’s republics of Donbass appealed to Russia for help. In this regard, in accordance with article 51 of part 7 of the UN Charter, with the authorization of the Federation Council of the Russian Federation and in accordance with the treaties on friendship and mutual assistance ratified by the Federal Assembly on 22 February this year, I have decided to conduct a special military operation with the Donetsk People’s Republic and the Lugansk People’s Republic. Its purpose is to protect people who have been subjected to bullying for eight years, genocide by the Kiev regime. And for this purpose we will strive for the demilitarization and denazification of Ukraine. It is not our plan to occupy the Ukrainian territory. ”  

Those two war goals – demilitarization and denazification of the Ukraine – have not yet been won. Over Saturday night, October 31-November 1, the 1,712^th day of the SVO, 235 Ukrainian drones were shot down over 17 Russian regions; one civilian was killed.  Over the day Russian troops liberated 37 settlements, reclaimed more than 670 km², but lost 153 km². As a result, the growth of Russian territory amounted to 518 km².”  In the same period, Russian drone attacks on the Ukraine totaled 433.  

One of the popular war podcasters who has repeatedly reported this uncertainty as certainty is Alexander Mercouris (lead image, left). In the new book, Stand and Deliver, The History of Podcast Journalism, the reason he does this is revealed. His podcasts turn out to be evidence for the way in which the iron law of propaganda operates. The Mercouris story is also evidence of how it profits him and his business partner, Alex Christoforou (centre), to turn the iron law into gold for themselves.

Click to view or read a sample of the book, now available in e-book, paperback or hardcover editions.  

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by Editor - Sunday, November 1st, 2026
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By John Helmer, Moscow
  @bears_with

A reconnaissance scout on the battlefield; a spy under cover on enemy territory; a G2 General Staff officer; a national security advisor; a politician running for election; or a journalist would be disbelieved, suspected of duplicity, even shot, if he or she made the same mistake so confidently, so loudly, so often.

Watch as these podcasters on Andrew Napolitano’s Judging Freedom are asked, then answer that the Ukraine is on its last legs, its army on the front and its government in Kiev. They have been repeating their answer each year since the Special Military Operation began in February 2022.

In the new book published this week, the reasons are analysed for this podcast phenomenon – factoids, disinformation, wishful thinking, propaganda. And yet on the podcast metrics the Napolitano podcast appears to draw large audiences who don’t appear to notice. However, as the evidence in the book reveals, they do: they click off and move on to different podcasts, different sources of reporting, analysis and prediction. This also a feature of the new podcast journalism —  it’s not limited to Napolitano as the source.

Click on the new book: https://www.amazon.com/dp/B0HPFBZ1V7 

Three sources, veteran analysts of the war in Europe and the US, were asked to comment on the compilation of the Nap gang’s last legs:

“Ukraine being on its last legs is just one of the talking points wider Team Napolitano keeps repeating,” the European source replied. “It seems to me a dual-use talking point: mostly it seems to condone and commend President Putin’s policy of keeping his foot on the brake while the likes of [Central Bank governor Elvira] Nabiullina and [Kremlin negotiator Kirill] Dmitriev do their thing in the background.  If Ukraine is ‘on its last legs’,  then one simply has to wait and not do anything different. Saying so is a water-treading exercise.  And it’s rewarded by all expense-paid trips to Moscow and more for people who appear to have washed out of the US income-generating media system.”       

US source: “Same reason people keep saying, day after day, that there is going to be a catastrophic financial collapse, US civil war, plague, Russian invasion of Europe, etc.  Drama gets clicks and subs. Even better, it doesn’t take much work to produce, so the margins are good. It’s also better than saying what the US is about in general, and up to in particular in the Ukraine. Better to show the Gadsden flag, eagles, Stars and Stripes, ‘Founding Father’ slogans, and a rotation of old men pining for the Russo-American rapprochement that is ‘the Great White Hope’.”  

Moscow source: “It’s wishful thinking. Not payment.”       

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by Editor - Thursday, October 29th, 2026
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By John Helmer, Moscow
  @bears_with

In the Polymarket betting market which the Trump family plays as the house, the White House one  betting $300 million on itself,  Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (AOC) is running neck and neck with Gavin Newson as the Democratic candidate for the presidential election in two years’ time. In the opinion polls, she is running second or third when Kamala Harris is counted in the race.  

In the new episode of Capitals Uncovered, Martin Sieff, the veteran US political reporter,  explains that after next Tuesday, when he is expecting President Donald Trump to lose both the House of Representatives and the Senate in a nationwide sweep, the Democratic Party nomination race will quickly remove Harris, and catapult the 10-year New York Congresswoman, AOC,  to the lead.

For this week, before next Tuesday, Trump is saying “I don’t mind AOC that much. I don’t know why.”  He means she is a weak presidential challenger whom any one of Trump’s succession candidates – Vice President JD Vance, Secretary of State Marco Rubio, and son Donald Trump Junior – will be able to defeat.

Sieff explains that when the mid-term results are counted, this calculation will be destroyed for both the Republicans and the Democrats, and the Polymarket odds transformed.  Vance — Sieff is predicting  — will opt out of the 2028 race, leaving Rubio to run and end in defeat. Everyone with a Trump name, together with their friends and business partners, will be on the run from prosecution, unelectable.

AOC claims to be socialist at home, anti-imperialist abroad – except that she says she will continue the war against Russian “imperialism” with the Kiev regime in the lead.  

In the assessment of the Russian intelligence agencies reporting to President Vladimir Putin,  if the presidential race turns into Rubio versus Ocasio-Cortez, the least threatening option in the warfighting between now and then must be Rubio.

For this reason, Putin is withholding from Cuba the diesel he has promised to the US and to “the global markets at large”,  because that would break the US blockade of Cuba in Rubio’s war for regime change in Havana. AOC, by contrast, is opposing the blockade and will fight Rubio on the war against Cuba.  

Follow Putin’s record on Rubio’s war against Cuba up to the end of July.  

There has been no Russian delivery of petroleum products to Cuba since then. Instead, early this month, the Kremlin delivered 750 tonnes of vegetable oil. In a ceremony on October 17, “Russian Ambassador Víktor Koronelli presided over the handover alongside Cuban Foreign Trade Minister Óscar Pérez-Oliva Fraga and Domestic Trade Minister Betsy Díaz. Etienne Labande, the WFP representative in Cuba, was also present. According to the Russian Embassy’s statement, the oil will be distributed to children, the elderly, and pregnant women.”  

An anti-Russian think tank in Washington described this Russian strategy towards Cuba as Trump-first – “selective support while trying to avoid helping Havana become another source of direct confrontation with Washington.”   

Click to view or listen to the podcast with Pelle Neroth Taylor and Martin Sieff, recorded in Stockholm on Monday afternoon (October 26).

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by Editor - Wednesday, October 28th, 2026
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By John Helmer, Moscow
  @bears_with

Bribery for President Donald Trump and his family has become such a political liability in US politics that, according to a new poll reported last week, “about 69 per cent of registered voters, and almost 50 per cent of those who voted for the president in 2024, said they were ‘very’ or ‘somewhat’ concerned about ‘corruption, self-dealing or conflicts of interest’ in the Trump administration…Nearly half of all registered voters also said corruption had been more of a problem during Trump’s second term compared with previous administrations…Corruption has become a top concern for voters, second only to affordability.”  

For the Kremlin, bribing Trump has been a political opportunity – a costlier one, but also a more reliable one than President Vladimir Putin’s bribe for the Clinton family which failed in 2009 to produce the promised approval of Hillary Clinton, then Secretary of State, for the sale of  General Motors’ Opel car division in Germany to a Russian carmaker.  

“There is no question bribes have already been paid,” says a Moscow source in a position to know. “Whether for [Trump family] weddings, gifts, or crypto business, they have been paid. Russian oligarchs and the Kremlin happily play these games to free up their own money and reassure Putin that they are helping the military gain advantage on the battlefield.” 

According this source, bribery has worked in the “pre-war period for many years — with the Germans on Nord Stream, with the Finns, with the French in Total, with the Italians and with the Turks, involving gas pipeline and nuclear deals. Russians did such things with almost all the Europeans and Americans after 2014. They paid them and let them take. It has worked; it will usually work. Hence Putin’s confidence that Trump will deliver because the whole family is on the take and payments have been made. In this situation, continuing to dangle bribes and bribing his children, achieves the purpose. Trump will eventually deliver — something.”

The reason Putin keeps complimenting Trump’s wife, Melania Trump, with “appreciation for her humanitarian efforts”, is, according to this source,  that this is the Russian reminder that the bill is coming due — it’s time for Trump to deliver. Over the past year, the Kremlin website records six repeats of the same message by the President; two more by other Kremlin officials.

In the new podcast with Nima Alkhorshid, recorded on Tuesday afternoon Washington time, we put the Melania message in its political and military context, and predict what Trump will be able to deliver after Election Day next week. Click to view or listen: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eewEdo66crA

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by Editor - Tuesday, October 27th, 2026
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By John Helmer, Moscow
  @bears_with

Just as drones have overtaken traditional infantry, armour and artillery weapons in land war, podcasts are transforming the warfighting weapons on the media battlefield.

This is the first history of war and peace podcasting and of the big-click, fat-money, heavy-weapon podcast names.  

Just in time, too, because the evidence uncovered in this book reveals that the podcasters  have already hit their peak in  viewers and  influence. Audience fatigue is setting in; clickbait exaggeration, sensationalism, and fakery are replacing investigative journalism.  

Attracted to the podcasters as the newest and most influential of the mass media,  the info-warfighting agencies  of the US, UK, Russia, China,  and Iran are making the podcast impresarios and their guests an offer they find it difficult to  resist. Money for propaganda – this is the iron law of media in wartime. The first casualty is investigative journalism, reporting the truth.

There is a second iron law – it’s the old imperial idea of diverting dissent and pulling in crowds with bread and circuses. Blood, too.

Case studies of the war and peace podcasts most popular with audiences in the English-language world reveal why they are failing to stimulate anti-war movements and political parties opposed to the Trump empire’s wars.  These podcasters have turned into carneys outside the circus tent – pitching snake-oil cures, advertising exorbitantly priced products to keep as a memento of a night’s entertainment, then replace when the next circus rolls into town

This isn’t journalism, it isn’t politics; it isn’t even armchair warfighting. It’s action gaming — the intellectual equivalent of custom robos which blast away at each other until the commander’s robo has won all the hit points and destroyed the rivals.  

Russian robos and Iranian robos versus American, Ukrainian, German, British, and Israeli robos.

This game is fun to play for a short while, but it’s factless, feckless too, because the winner is always the commander’s robos, otherwise the game wouldn’t be worth playing. For gamers, there’s no fun in losing.

This is why in podcasts like Judging Freedom, The Duran, or Greater Eurasia Podcast,  the commander’s Russian and Iranian robos are always within days, weeks or months of winning their wars — and always certain to win. The robos with recognisable podcast names are always winning their games, always wrong on the battlefield: if they weren’t robos, this would be a disqualification from the game.

Here is the truth the media manipulators don’t want you to know, and the financial report of the fortunes they are earning in secret for manufacturing false consciousness for their state paymasters, and for deceiving you.

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by Editor - Monday, October 26th, 2026
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By John Helmer, Moscow
  @bears_with

In Moscow last week (October 22), President Vladimir Putin (lead image, top left) told a reporter that he thinks the people of Europe can stop the war against Russia, and President Donald Trump too.

“It has become obvious to everyone,” Putin said, “that it is impossible to defeat Russia on the battlefield, and it is unrealistic to inflict a strategic defeat on it. And I think that those people who have always sought to strategically weaken Russia — and, unfortunately, such people still exist today — are aware of the realities of modern life and understand that it is better to live in peace with Russia. This aligns with the interests of their peoples.Because, if you look at the political processes taking place in Europe, it becomes obvious that the peoples of Europe do not want to go to war with Russia.”  

At the same time CIA Director John Ratcliffe (top right) arranged for spokesmen to tell The Atlantic, not only that he, the Agency, and the Trump Administration think it is realistic to inflict a strategic defeat on Russia, but also that “the CIA’s operations are now much more aggressive than they were during the Biden administration.”  

Putin concluded his remarks with the reporter by linking current negotiations on the Ukraine war with the broader strategy of security for Russia in Europe. “The representative of the US administration [Steven Witkoff] pointed out that if we are to discuss some future security arrangement for both Ukraine and Russia, then of course we will need to talk about the broader European security architecture. And I agree with this too.”  

Amplifying on Putin’s remarks, Kirill Dmitriev (second row, right), the Kremlin negotiator with Witkoff,  tweeted his confidence that a revolution for peace is just around the corner, if only the Europeans opposed to Trump and to Putin would mend their ways. “Europe self-destructs,” Dmitriev announced on October 25, “because its bureaucrats refuse to correct their catastrophic mistakes on migration, energy and warmongering. They prefer to deflect and shift blame onto the US and Russia. As the European Revolution spreads, President Putin comments on the EU’s blame game.” 

What revolution or what wishful thinking is this?

View or listen to the new Reason2Resist podcast with Dimitri Lascaris, recorded in Lyon on Monday afternoon: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ff30ooSRUwI 

by Editor - Monday, October 26th, 2026
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By John Helmer, Moscow
  @bears_with

The destruction of the Libyan people has been attempted three times in the past century – the first by the Italians between 1911 and 1939; the second by the Germans between 1939 and 1943; and the third by the Americans, British and French from 2011 until now.  

Three times the outcome has been genocidal. In the Middle East, only Palestine, Iraq and Iran have suffered as much, for as long, and still today from the same sources.  

Three US presidents, Jimmy Carter, Ronald Reagan, and Barack Obama, have personally plotted the overthrow and assassination of Muammar Qaddafi (lead images, left) , just as Benito Mussolini had Omar el-Mukhtar (right). Qaddafi was executed on October 20, 2011; al-Mukhtar on September 16, 1931.

Obama’s Secretary of State Hillary Clinton said: “We came, we saw, he died.” Al-Mukhtar said: “We do not surrender. We win or die. This is not the end. You, the next generation, and the generations after you have to fight. My life will be longer than that of my hangman.”

At the start of the Jamarl Thomas Morning Show, on the fifteenth anniversary of Qaddafi’s death, we remember the genocidal purposes of the Americans and Europeans in Libya, and its consequences for the Middle East, Europe, and the US. There wasn’t time or opportunity to discuss the betrayal of Libya by ex-President Dmitry Medvedev, nor the subsequent policies of President Vladimir Putin – secret military operations,   secret arms dealing,  secret collaboration with the Turks,   and secret refusal to support the Qaddafi family through Aisha Qaddafi and Saif Qaddafi.  Saif was murdered on February 3 of this year.

Instead, we focus on the meaning of Putin’s meeting with White House negotiator Steven Witkoff, and the credibility for Iranian officials in Teheran of this remark of Putin’s to Witkoff; “Russia has a special, trusted relationship with Iran, our partners in Iran and our friends, because this relationship has developed for decades. If we can do anything for settling this crisis, we will be glad to help.”  

Click to view or listen:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=m74o9KiWsxg

by Editor - Friday, October 23rd, 2026
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