

By John Helmer, Moscow
@bears_with
An international platform for national upstarts to upstage each other – trained roosters clawing at each other in a cockpit surrounded by money bettors.
This comes every September when the United Nations General Assembly (UNGA) holds what it calls High-Level Week and the General Debate.
Lame ducks can pretend to be roosters. For example, “I have a big decision to make”, President Donald Trump told the General Debate. “Will a deal be made with Iran that lets them rebuild and create a far greater country than it ever was before? Or do I annihilate the Islamic Republic and do it quickly.”
Unnoticed outside the cockpit, there was a serious meeting between the Russian and US foreign ministers, Sergei Lavrov and Marco Rubio. Rubio’s official communiqué said how serious the meeting was by saying next to nothing. Rubio’s earlier meeting with the Bolivian president was reported in a communiqué of 10 lines; with the Kenyan president, 9; with the Italian foreign minister, 7; and with the Indian foreign minister, 6.
In his press conference later, Rubio revealed nothing of what he had heard from Lavrov. Instead, by repeating what Trump and Vladimir Zelensky have been repeating publicly and to each other, ignoring Lavrov, Rubio aimed to conceal the change in Russia’s line which had been spelled out to the Americans.
This new thinking isn’t new for the Russians. But for Americans used to hearing President Vladimir Putin’s negotiators Kirill Dmitriev and Yury Ushakov do the talking in private, it’s a problem Trump, Rubio and their associates have not been anticipating. They have been calculating on luring Putin to a summit meeting with Trump in Miami in mid-December, when the G20 summit conference is scheduled. Putin isn’t agreeing.
Rubio told the press after his meeting with Lavrov he’s not confident. “That [meeting] hasn’t been discussed,” Rubio said. He was lying; Lavrov said so.
“Look, the President of the United States,” said Rubio, “this President is willing to engage and meet with virtually anyone…In order to solve problems, you have to meet with people that you disagree with or the people that you might have some issues with. So, we’ve invited President Putin to the G20. We think it’s an opportunity for him to engage not just with the President but with other world leaders. We hope that’s an invitation he’ll accept. There’s an opportunity in December if that happens… the ideal would be a meeting in which there will be a result, an outcome, and a lot of that means there has to be a lot of work that goes into it beforehand.”
Lavrov had just told Rubio what the Kremlin means by “beforehand work.” Rubio hasn’t liked what he heard.
For a start, Lavrov told Rubio to his face that Trump will be a lame duck president in six weeks’ time, after the November 3 congressional election. “The parties also discussed preparation for the G20 events scheduled later this year,” Lavrov’s communiqué announced. That’s December 14-15, five weeks after the election. Lavrov and other Russian officials are waiting expectantly for that.
“The Russian party,” Lavrov told Rubio, “emphasised the importance of normalising bilateral relations as soon as possible, in line with the agreements reached by the Russian and US presidents.” This is Lavrov’s reference to Trump’s summit meeting with Putin in Anchorage, Alaska, on August 15, 2025, and the refusal since then on the American side, particularly by Rubio’s State Department, to agree to any form of bilateral normalisation. Lavrov was telling Rubio that no deal with Trump has been honoured before Trump had lost any of his powers to his opponents in Congress, so no deal can be expected after November 3.
Compared to the line Dmitriev and Ushakov have been telling the Americans that Putin has decided, Lavrov was saying there’s new thinking, new line.
In the podcast with Jamarl Thomas, recorded on Thursday morning, Washington, DC, time, the evidence is picked out of the cockpit noise from New York, and from the Lavrov communiqué explained word by word.
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